第11篇 The Evaluation of Smart Growth Cities
参赛队员：李一辰,陈捷,周炳汕
指导老师：周华任
获奖情况：2017年国际大学生数学建模竞赛二等奖(Honorable Mention)
Summary：With the rapid development of the economy and the society,more and more countries are implementing the“Smart growth”in the contribution of communities.So,it is important to develop smart growth plan and evaluate the success of the plan.
For task 1,we combine the three E's standards and ten principles to establish the six S's metric system.All of the second indexes are extended from the three E's and ten principles.After classifying these indexes under different S's standards,we establish the six S's metric system to evaluate the success of the smart growth.
For task 2,we set up the Analytic Network Process(ANP)evaluation model and define the smart index based on the six S's metric system to evaluate the success of the smart growth plans of Arlington County and Sanya.We also establish the correlation coefficient matrix to discuss the complex relationship between the six S's.Then we evaluate the standard index found from documents and the index from current growth plan.By comparing the standard value with the smart growth plan's value,we calculate the success degree of different indexes.
For task 3,we develop new smart growth plans for two cities by the technology roadmap method.And the actions are all origin from the six S's metric system.Then we use the ANP evaluation model again to evaluate the success of the redesigned smart growth plans.
For task 4,we establish the growth model by the least square method to simulate the real change of different indexes and see these value as real situation.After comparing the index from our redesigned growth plan with the index from simulated growth model,we get the deviation of individual initiatives and rank the six S's in the order of potential.
For task 5,we build up a dynamic index system to tailor to the change of the population.According to the relationship between the indexes which has already been classified in the ANP evaluation model,we calculate the evaluation value of different standards base on the change of population.
The advantage of the paper is that we make the evaluation by establishing the ANP evaluation model,defining the smart index and using the development roadmap.
Key words：ANP evaluation model;Smart index;Six S's metric system;Technology roadmap method