Sensitivity Analysis of Population Change
Considering that the population will rise to the 50%to 2050.And we have to build a dynamic index system to tailor to the change.
Since the rising of population belongs to the species growth,we use the logistic model of block-increasing to calculate the change of population.
Taking Arlington as an example,we can get the function of population rising and time as follows:
In which,r represents a constant,x 0 represents the population in 2000 and x m represents the population in 2050.And the index of smart economy in Arlington can be rewritten as the following equation:
After calculation,the population of Arlington rises from 189 453 to 284 179,so the change of the index can be displayed by the following table:
Table 22 The smart index of new growth plan over next several decades